Solutions

Will Social Security Run Out in 20 Years?

Concern about Social Security's long-term solvency is understandable, and it's one of the most common questions we hear from clients.

Moore Invested

According to the 2025 Social Security Trustees Report, the combined trust fund reserves were projected to be depleted in 2034 per the 2025 Trustees Report. However, in August 2025, Social Security’s chief actuary confirmed that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed into law on July 4, 2025, advances that depletion date to 2032, meaning the program is now roughly six years from a potential shortfall. Depletion does not mean Social Security ends. Even without legislative changes, ongoing payroll tax revenue would still cover a significant portion of scheduled benefits, estimated at around 77% to 81% depending on which trust fund is measured. The OASI trust fund alone, which pays retirement and survivor benefits, is projected to be depleted in 2033 with 77% of benefits payable at that time. Throughout Social Security’s history, Congress has acted multiple times to shore up the program, and broad political support makes it unlikely benefits would be cut without some form of corrective action. That said, uncertainty about future benefit levels is real and worth planning around. At Moore Invested, we build retirement income strategies that don’t rely entirely on Social Security so that regardless of what happens in Washington, your financial plan remains on track.

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