Solutions

Will I Run Out of Money in Retirement?

Running out of money in retirement, sometimes called longevity risk, is one of the most common fears among pre-retirees and for good reason.

Moore Invested

Running out of money in retirement is one of the most common fears among pre-retirees. It is sometimes called longevity risk, and the fear is well founded.

Americans are living longer than ever. A 65-year-old today has a meaningful probability of living into their late 80s or beyond. A retirement that lasts 25 to 30 years requires careful planning. That includes withdrawal rates, investment allocation, inflation, healthcare costs, and income sources.

The traditional 4% withdrawal rule was designed to give a portfolio a high probability of lasting 30 years. But it was developed under different market conditions. It also does not account for individual circumstances.

Several strategies can reduce longevity risk:

  • Delay Social Security to maximize your guaranteed income.
  • Maintain a diversified portfolio with enough growth to outpace inflation.
  • Cover fixed expenses with guaranteed income sources.
  • Build in flexibility to reduce discretionary spending during market downturns.

A formal retirement income plan gives you a clearer picture of your actual risk. It should be modeled with realistic assumptions and stress-tested against adverse scenarios. It also shows what adjustments, if any, are needed.