2026 Market Themes

Moore Insights

2026 Themes

  • Bull market is long is “Long in the Tooth”, but environment remains positive.
  • Midterm elections bring politics back into the forefront.
  • AI infrastructure is old news, what is the next iteration?
  • Speaking of the next iteration… Natural gas is trouncing oil and no one has noticed.
  • After years of underperformance, international investments are back.

Current Bull Market Growing Old

We are over three years into a strong bull market. Well past the average.

global stock price index during cyclical bulls

Source:Ned Davis Research ________________________________________

Interest Rate Environment is Favorable

Stocks tend to do well when cutting interest rates after a pause in rates.

S&P index around first cut following easing cycle pauses of six months or more

Source:Ned Davis Research ________________________________________

The Market Really Loves Midterm Elections

Midterms are a great seasonal time for the market…especially in the event of a wave election.

dow industrials four year presidential cycle

Source:Ned Davis Research ________________________________________

What is Next for Artificial Intelligence Investing

AI artificial intelligence

Further Upstream

  • Power Generation
  • Commodities
  • Alternative Energy

   Further Downstream

  • Application Software
  • Healthcare
  • Manufacturing

Natural Gas-Oil’s Twin is Winning Again!

Production levels look normal for both Oil and Natural Gas!

US oil and Natural Gas Production

Source:Ned Davis Research ________________________________________

Oil and Gas Prices – Recent History

But the prices have really diverged. Oil is down quite a bit and Natural Gas staying strong.

oil prices and gas prices

Source:Ned Davis Research ________________________________________

International Stocks Gain Momentum

The US has led stock markets across the globe since 2009. That could very likely be changing.

MSCI US and emerging markets relative performance

Source:Ned Davis Research ________________________________________

Weak Dollar Provides Tailwind

Weak dollar prices international stocks higher in US based brokerage accounts.

DXY US Dollar Index

Source:Seeking Alpha

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